Weather/Wind forecast for Hang Gliding at Stanwell Park

This is an experimental page offering a wind forecast for the Stanwell Park hang gliding region. It will be updated on most days. Feedback is welcome, please email your observations or thoughts. I live in the area, but have no relevant longterm data - apart from my eyes! The Bureau of Meteorology has a wind station at Bellambi and I hope sometime to develop some forecast algorithms to assist in producing a better product. The forecasts are derived from my experience and the availability of meteorological forecast charts; LAPS (BOM, Aust.) GASP (BOM, Aust), ECMWF (Europe) and MRF (USA).It seems to me that many flyers turn up at Bald Hill in the vague hope that the winds will be OK... when the chance of that occurring is very slim (perhaps they just want to escape work or the the house!!) This service may help plan the day or the week!

Comments to: clouds@ozemail.com.au

DISCLAIMER: Check the forecast issue date - the forecast cannot be guaranteed to be updated everyday. While every effort will be made to ensure accurate information, MWS take no responsibility for errors or omissions or for any consequence of reliance on this informattion.

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LAST UPDATE: THIS PAGE WILL NOT BE UPDATED AS REGULARLY AS USUAL DURING THE MONTH OF AUGUST. IT IS MY PLAN IN SEPTEMBER TO RE-VAMP THE PAGE WITH A NEW STYLE FORECAST. THOUGHTS WELCOME!      

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HOW TO READ THE FORECAST   

The forecast is constructed in the same fashion as a TAF, however, local time is used and the forecast period covers only daylight hours. It also borrows some terminology from the AREA forecast format.

DAY DATE # forecast starts.

CONFID: % confidence in forecast; 10% not very confident and 90% extremely confident.

Wind direction (T) and windspeed (KTS). Cloud amount (oktas), type and height (if necessary). Weather (if necessary).

Changes in conditions; FROM (local time) for permanent change and TEMPO (between 2 time periods) for a temporary change in conditions.

++ plain language comment

eg: Mon 961016# CONFID: 70  020/16  3CU  FROM 15  180/22  2ST 6CU  SCT RASH ++ southerly change may be early

Confidence of 70% in forecast; wind from 020 at 16 kts during the day with 3/8 of cumulus cloud until 1500 hrs when a wind change to 180 at 22 kts is expected with 2/8 stratus and 6/8 cumulus and scattered rainshowers, then plain language comment.


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